2020年,朝鲜半岛新冠疫情肆虐,受美国特朗普政府推出“印太战略”的影响,朝鲜、韩国各自调整战略定位。朝美、朝韩两个对话机制均陷停滞,半岛无核化冻结在“双暂停”状态。年内朝韩关系基本保持平静,没有军事冲突、危机事态,但也无积极进展。韩国致力于推进“自主性国防”,谋求完善军事主权,国防建设立足于应对“全方位的安全威胁”,发展外向型作战思想。朝鲜确立“自卫性国防”军事战略,发展非对称作战思想。朝鲜半岛不同步的军备建设,继续加大半岛的军事失衡。美韩协力加固军事同盟,维护美韩联合作战体制的稳固性。中韩在非传统安全领域的合作有所进展,传统安全领域的分歧依然存在。半岛新冠肺炎疫情防疫仍在路上,军备竞赛蓄势待发,美国新一届政府的半岛政策将为半岛安全形势注入不确定因素。In 2020,the COVID-19 pandemic racked the Korean Peninsular,and both North and South Koreas adjusted their respective strategic orientations due to the Indo-Pacific strategy pursued by the Trump administration;the DPRK-US and DPRK-ROK dialogue mechanisms were at a standstill,and the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsular was frozen in a state of“dual suspension”;and relations between North and South Koreas remained largely calm without military conflicts,crises or positive progress.South Korea was committed to promoting“autonomous national defense”,seeking to improve military sovereignty,building a national defense against“all-dimensional security threats”and developing an external-oriented combat ideology,while North Korea established a military strategy highlighting“self-defense”and developed an idea of asymmetrical warfare.The unsynchronized military buildup on the Korean Peninsular continued to increase the military imbalance on the Peninsular.The US and South Korea worked together to consolidate their military alliance and maintain the stability of the US-ROK joint combat system.China-ROK cooperation in non-traditional security field made headways though their disagreements in traditional security field remained.Currently,the COVID-19 pandemic remains on the Korean Peninsular,an arms race is brewing,and the new US administration’s policy toward the Korean Peninsular will bring uncertainties to the security situation on the Peninsular.
机构地区中国国际战略学会
出处《和平与发展》 2021年第1期94-108,133,134,共17页Peace and Development
关键词朝鲜半岛 新冠疫情 无核化 安全态势
分类号D815 [政治法律—国际关系]
